Illertissen vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
UNT
0 - 2
ILL
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 2
WAC
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 3
ILL
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 2
AUB
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 4
ILL
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WAC
3 - 2
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
1 - 1
AUB
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
NUR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
0 - 1
RAI
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 1
NUR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |