Illertissen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
4º
15º
6º
42
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 50 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 43 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
14º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NUR
0 - 2
ILL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 3
F95
7%
14%
79%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 3
WUR
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 1
ILL
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 1
WAC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
BAY
28%
23%
50%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
MEM
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAY
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 0
ZWI
28%
21%
51%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |