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Regionalliga. Bayern, Matchday 15

Illertissen vs FC Augsburg II analysis

Illertissen FC Augsburg II
19 ELO 26
-15% Tilt 117%
6870º General ELO ranking 5505º
222º Country ELO ranking 204º
ELO win probability
16.8%
Illertissen
19.2%
Draw
64%
FC Augsburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
Illertissen
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Illertissen
+42%
+70%
FC Augsburg II

Points and table prediction

Illertissen
Their league position
FC Augsburg II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
12º
23
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayreuth SpVgg
40
81
33%
Bayern München II
38
88
10%
SV Wacker Burghausen
35
71
25%
Buchbach
33
61
12%
Schweinfurt
32
79
1%
Illertissen
29
55
7%
Aubstadt
29
57
7%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
25
47
11º
7%
FC Augsburg II
23
55
6%
Unterhaching
10º
22
54
5%
Heimstetten
11º
21
45
14º
6%
Eichstätt
12º
21
47
12º
6%
Eltersdorf
13º
20
49
10º
6%
Nürnberg II
14º
19
44
15º
6%
Memmingen
15º
19
44
16º
7%
FC Pipinsried
16º
18
46
13º
6%
Schalding-Heining
17º
17
37
18º
7%
Rain / Lech
18º
17
30
19º
9%
Greuther Fürth II
19º
16
42
17º
8%
Rosenheim
20º
7
25
20º
27%
Expected probabilities
Illertissen
FC Augsburg II
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
82% 79%
Relegation playoffs
9% 10%
Relegation
9% 11%

ELO progression

FC Augsburg II
AUG
Illertissen
ILL
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
Heimstetten
HEI
Nürnberg II
NUR
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ILL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 4
Nürnberg II
NUR
39%
27%
34%
259 536 -277 -2
03 Sep. 2021
UNT
Unterhaching
0 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
46%
27%
27%
257 229 -28 +2
31 Aug. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
1 - 2
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
41%
28%
31%
258 402 -144 -1
28 Aug. 2021
SCH
Schalding-Heining
1 - 3
Illertissen
ILL
41%
28%
30%
256 189 -67 +2
20 Aug. 2021
ILL
Illertissen
1 - 2
Aubstadt
AUB
47%
27%
26%
258 169 89 -2

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO AUG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
NUR
Nürnberg II
0 - 3
FC Augsburg II
AUG
51%
26%
23%
327 538 211 +3
14 Sep. 2021
AUG
FC Augsburg II
3 - 1
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
41%
28%
30%
325 405 -80 +2
04 Sep. 2021
AUB
Aubstadt
1 - 1
FC Augsburg II
AUG
42%
27%
31%
325 170 -155 0
28 Aug. 2021
RAI
Rain / Lech
2 - 4
FC Augsburg II
AUG
39%
28%
34%
323 144 -179 +2
21 Aug. 2021
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 0
Buchbach
BUC
41%
28%
30%
323 395 -72 0