Non League Div One Northern Midlands. Jor. 30

Ilkeston Town FC vs Carlton Town analysis

Ilkeston Town FC Carlton Town
37 ELO 27
6.3% Tilt -1.1%
5286º General ELO ranking 7794º
231º Country ELO ranking 401º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Ilkeston Town FC
17.8%
Draw
13.9%
Carlton Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
Ilkeston Town FC
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.9%
Win probability
Carlton Town
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ilkeston Town FC
+23%
-2%
Carlton Town

ELO progression

Ilkeston Town FC
Carlton Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ilkeston Town FC
Ilkeston Town FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2022
HIS
Histon
0 - 0
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
13%
19%
69%
36 17 19 0
08 Feb. 2022
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
2 - 1
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
77%
14%
9%
36 22 14 0
05 Feb. 2022
COR
Corby Town
0 - 2
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
22%
22%
57%
36 23 13 0
29 Jan. 2022
ILK
Ilkeston Town FC
2 - 2
Halesowen Town
HAL
41%
25%
34%
35 39 4 +1
22 Jan. 2022
SOH
Soham Town Rangers
2 - 5
Ilkeston Town FC
ILK
10%
18%
72%
35 15 20 0

Matches

Carlton Town
Carlton Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2022
SPA
Spalding United
0 - 3
Carlton Town
CAR
44%
24%
32%
26 26 0 0
08 Feb. 2022
CAR
Carlton Town
2 - 2
Sporting Khalsa
SPO
45%
22%
33%
26 26 0 0
05 Feb. 2022
HIS
Histon
2 - 0
Carlton Town
CAR
16%
21%
63%
28 15 13 -2
29 Jan. 2022
CAR
Carlton Town
2 - 1
Soham Town Rangers
SOH
80%
13%
7%
28 14 14 0
22 Jan. 2022
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
2 - 2
Carlton Town
CAR
43%
23%
35%
28 24 4 0
X