Ilford FC vs Sawbridgeworth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilford FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STA
0 - 1
ILF
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ILF
1 - 1
LOA
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HOD
0 - 0
ILF
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
ESS
2 - 1
ILF
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ILF
1 - 1
COC
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sawbridgeworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAW
0 - 3
ENF
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAW
4 - 1
ESS
14%
18%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAF
2 - 0
SAW
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SAW
2 - 1
COC
7%
13%
81%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SAW
0 - 2
WEN
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |