IJsselmeervogels vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IJsselmeervogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GVV
3 - 2
IJS
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IJS
2 - 2
KAT
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
IJS
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
IJS
3 - 0
GEN
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HHC
1 - 0
IJS
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
1 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
NOO
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |