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Estonia Third Division. Este/Norte, Matchday 23

Tammeka III vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis

Tammeka III Ajax Lasnamäe
4 ELO 4
87% Tilt 102%
24469º General ELO ranking 13528º
242º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
49.7%
Tammeka III
18.6%
Draw
31.7%
Ajax Lasnamäe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
Tammeka III
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
4%
4-4
1.3%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
31.7%
Win probability
Ajax Lasnamäe
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tammeka III
+61%
+71%
Ajax Lasnamäe

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Tallinn
58
58
50%
TJK Legion II
58
58
50%
FCI Tallinn
57
57
100%
Trans II
53
53
100%
Tartu Welco II
43
43
100%
Sillamäe Kalev
42
42
100%
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
33
33
100%
JK Järve II
32
32
50%
Jogeva SK Noorus 96
32
32
50%
Maardu II
10º
30
30
10º
100%
FC Helios Tartu
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Ajax Lasnamäe
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Tammeka III
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Jõgeva Wolves
14º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tammeka III
Ajax Lasnamäe
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
Tammeka III
TMK
TJK Legion II
TJK
Maardu II
MST
Trans II
JKN
FC Helios Tartu
FHT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tammeka III
Tammeka III
1%
X%
2%
ELO TMK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2020
TMK
Tammeka III
6 - 1
Jõgeva Wolves
JWO
46%
27%
28%
69 106 -37 +1
03 Oct. 2020
FCT
FC Tallinn
7 - 2
Tammeka III
TMK
46%
28%
26%
69 138 69 -1
27 Sep. 2020
TMK
Tammeka III
1 - 4
Sillamäe Kalev
SIK
41%
28%
30%
70 122 -52 -1
13 Sep. 2020
TMK
Tammeka III
2 - 4
Jogeva SK Noorus 96
NOO
46%
27%
27%
71 70 1 -1
05 Sep. 2020
KJK
JK Järve II
4 - 1
Tammeka III
TMK
46%
27%
28%
71 47 -24 -1

Matches

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ajax Lasnamäe
1%
X%
2%
ELO AJA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
PTV
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
3 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
51%
26%
23%
51 296 245 0
08 Oct. 2020
MST
Maardu II
1 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
45%
27%
28%
50 85 35 0
04 Oct. 2020
TIN
FCI Tallinn
4 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
46%
28%
26%
51 136 85 -1
26 Sep. 2020
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
1 - 1
Trans II
JKN
46%
27%
28%
51 88 -37 0
19 Sep. 2020
JWO
Jõgeva Wolves
1 - 8
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
47%
27%
26%
50 108 58 +1