Ihefu vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
16º
6º
31
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ihefu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 2
IFC
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
IFC
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 0
KMC
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
IFC
3 - 1
MTI
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
NAM
2 - 0
IFC
51%
27%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MBE
1 - 0
MTI
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 2
MBE
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
AZA
6 - 1
MBE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 2
TAN
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 1
SBS
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |