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Superettan. Matchday 5

Varnamo GAIS
42 ELO 46
26% Tilt -13%
2073º General ELO ranking 1317º
42º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
53.8%
Varnamo
24.7%
Draw
21.5%
GAIS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
Varnamo
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.5%
Win probability
GAIS
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

51
49
POS
8
8
SOT
10
6
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
15
16
FRK
42
46
ELO
1.6
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Varnamo
Their league position
GAIS
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Varnamo
17
51
8%
Landskrona
16
43
7%
Jönköpings Södra
14
47
9%
GIF Sundsvall
14
50
8%
Norrby
14
39
6%
Trelleborgs FF
13
46
7%
Västerås SK
13
38
11º
6%
GAIS
13
44
6%
Helsingborgs
12
50
6%
AFC Eskilstuna
10º
11
29
14º
7%
Osters IF
11º
11
44
6%
Vasalunds IF
12º
10
38
10º
7%
IK Brage
13º
9
20
16º
9%
Falkenbergs
14º
9
33
13º
7%
Örgryte
15º
7
34
12º
9%
Akropolis
16º
7
28
15º
9%
Expected probabilities
Varnamo
GAIS
Champion
8% 6%
Promotion
8% 6%
Promotion playoffs
9% 7%
Mid-table
57% 57%
Relegation playoffs
9% 12%
Relegation
8% 11%

ELO progression

GAIS
GAI
Varnamo
IFK
Västerås SK
VAS
Trelleborgs FF
TRE
Helsingborgs
HEL
Akropolis
AKR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varnamo
Varnamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO IFK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
FAL
Falkenbergs
0 - 3
Varnamo
IFK
47%
27%
26%
671 670 -1 +7
24 Apr. 2021
IFK
Varnamo
1 - 0
IK Brage
IKB
46%
27%
28%
668 751 -83 +4
18 Apr. 2021
IFK
Varnamo
2 - 1
GIF Sundsvall
GIF
40%
28%
32%
663 907 -244 +4
10 Apr. 2021
LAN
Landskrona
2 - 0
Varnamo
IFK
53%
25%
22%
668 825 157 -5
02 Apr. 2021
GÖT
IFK Göteborg
3 - 3
Varnamo
IFK
72%
18%
10%
563 1567 1004 +17

Matches

GAIS
GAIS
1%
X%
2%
ELO GAI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2021
GAI
GAIS
3 - 2
Osters IF
OIF
53%
25%
22%
817 648 169 +3
25 Apr. 2021
AFC
AFC Eskilstuna
0 - 0
GAIS
GAI
42%
27%
31%
817 624 -193 0
17 Apr. 2021
GAI
GAIS
1 - 0
Västerås SK
VAS
47%
27%
26%
814 780 34 +3
10 Apr. 2021
FAL
Falkenbergs
0 - 1
GAIS
GAI
44%
27%
29%
810 673 -137 +4
02 Apr. 2021
DEG
Degerfors
2 - 1
GAIS
GAI
52%
25%
22%
863 1067 204 -20