IFK Norrköping vs Degerfors IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-21%
Basic stats
48
52
POS
13
15
SOT
0
6
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
16
14
FRK
65
48
ELO
2
1.5
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
16º
11º
12
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 60 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 53 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 43 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 47 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 22 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 24 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
15º
|
22% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Europa Conference League | 1% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 76% | 32% |
| Relegation playoffs | 8% | 22% |
| Relegation | 15% | 46% |
ELO progression
NOR
DEG
VAR
ELF
MJÄ
GÖT
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO NOR | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GÖT
2 - 0
NOR
50%
26%
25%
|
1644 | 1822 | 178 | -9 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
GÖT
46%
27%
28%
|
1655 | 1811 | -156 | -11 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
MFF
37%
28%
35%
|
1664 | 2116 | -452 | -9 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DEG
1 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
1667 | 878 | -789 | -4 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 1
SIR
56%
24%
20%
|
1678 | 1141 | 537 | -11 |
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DEG | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DEG
2 - 1
KAL
34%
27%
40%
|
865 | 1570 | -705 | +11 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
DEG
41%
27%
31%
|
873 | 694 | -179 | -8 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 0
DEG
54%
25%
21%
|
882 | 1155 | 273 | -8 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DEG
1 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
878 | 1667 | -789 | +4 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
GÖT
2 - 0
DEG
72%
18%
10%
|
882 | 1827 | 945 | -4 |