Karlshamn vs Linero IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+827%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
10º
23
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 47 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
IFK
4 - 3
RAP
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 0
IFK
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
KAR
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Linero IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NOS
1 - 1
LIN
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 3
KRI
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 4
LIN
79%
12%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 0
VAX
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
HOG
1 - 4
LIN
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |