IFC vs EFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LON
0 - 0
IFC
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
IFC
3 - 1
JEK
48%
23%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VLI
3 - 2
IFC
55%
21%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 2
PSV
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
IFC
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EFC
1 - 0
TER
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 1
LON
46%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
EFC
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EFC
0 - 0
VLI
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 2
EFC
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |