Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 11-1
IF Elfsborg vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
2 - 2
HAL
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 1
ATV
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
ELF
5 - 1
SYR
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
38%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
ELF
0 - 0
GEF
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
UPE
0 - 4
FCD
4%
9%
87%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
FKJ
0 - 3
FCD
11%
20%
69%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 1
VEN
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
FKD
0 - 1
FCD
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FCD
5 - 0
ILU
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | +1 |