Idoya vs Baztan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AOI
2 - 2
IDO
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IDO
2 - 4
MUR
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 1
IDO
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
IDO
3 - 3
INJ
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
INF
3 - 2
IDO
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Baztan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDB
3 - 2
CDS
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ERR
2 - 1
CDB
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 0
BID
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 0
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AOI
2 - 1
CDB
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |