Idella A vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
IDE
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
TOU
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SEN
0 - 1
IDE
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 1
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
POB
2 - 1
IDE
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
MON
45%
23%
33%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
CHE
49%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
SEN
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
MON
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |