Ideal vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 0
IDE
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IDE
4 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAM
3 - 1
IDE
39%
24%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
TOU
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
ADN
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 1
OPE
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
SAB
72%
18%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
PAM
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |