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CN Seniores. Group E, Matchday 4

Ideal vs O Elvas analysis

Ideal O Elvas
29 ELO 51
3% Tilt 55%
5139º General ELO ranking 1243º
198º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
23.8%
Ideal
21.6%
Draw
54.6%
O Elvas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
Ideal
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.6%
Win probability
O Elvas
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%