Ideal vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
3 - 0
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IDE
4 - 0
FOR
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IDE
3 - 2
BMA
12%
21%
68%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FAT
3 - 0
IDE
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
MER
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
MER
10%
18%
73%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MER
2 - 1
SMA
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |