Ideal vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
IDE
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
IDE
0 - 0
ESA
11%
20%
69%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
IDE
4 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
RAB
2 - 1
IDE
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
4 - 1
IDE
75%
18%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FAB
1 - 2
ESA
9%
19%
72%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FAB
2 - 0
GDF
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 2
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RAB
1 - 2
FAB
57%
21%
23%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GDF
4 - 1
FAB
73%
16%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |