Ideal vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 1
ARM
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
IDE
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
FER
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 2
REA
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 1
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
CAS
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAS
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ANG
0 - 0
CAS
15%
23%
63%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |