Idar-Oberstein vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idar-Oberstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
IDA
1 - 0
HBI
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
PIR
1 - 1
IDA
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
EIS
1 - 2
IDA
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
IDA
0 - 1
HAU
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BET
1 - 0
IDA
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MEC
0 - 4
HOM
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 0
MAY
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
0 - 0
BNE
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
AWA
1 - 0
HOM
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
ELV
4 - 1
HOM
15%
21%
65%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -3 |