Icasa vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 0
QUI
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 1
ICA
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 2
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
77%
17%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 0
SAO
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
1 - 1
ICA
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
HOR
17%
21%
63%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 0
HOR
82%
14%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |