Icasa vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 1
ICA
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ICA
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ICA
1 - 1
PAC
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
ICA
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAU
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |