Icasa vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ICA
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ICA
1 - 1
PAC
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
ICA
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
ICA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
FER
5 - 2
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
FER
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
FER
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |