Icasa vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 2
ICA
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 2
ICA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 4
ICA
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 4
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 3
HOR
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |