Icasa vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
POR
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
ICA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 2
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
ABC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
AMF
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 0
OES
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |