Icasa vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
ICA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ICA
3 - 0
ITA
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
ICA
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 1
CUI
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
AGU
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REM
2 - 0
AGU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
REM
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
1 - 1
AGU
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |