Ibarra vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
UDI
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 2
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
YAI
0 - 0
UDI
49%
25%
25%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 2
UNV
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TEL
0 - 0
UDI
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 1
CDT
25%
22%
52%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
CSU
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 2
ARU
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VSB
0 - 1
CSU
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CSU
0 - 0
LAN
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |