Ibarra vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VSB
2 - 1
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 0
UDI
30%
26%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
ARU
0 - 2
UDI
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COT
2 - 0
CSU
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 0
COT
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
COT
6 - 1
TEL
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
COT
4 - 3
UNV
38%
24%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 1
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |