Ibach vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
IBA
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 0
IBA
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 1
TAV
23%
20%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 6
WIL
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 5
WIL
72%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |