Hwaseong vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SIH
0 - 2
HWA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HWA
0 - 0
GIM
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MOK
1 - 2
HWA
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HWA
3 - 0
YAN
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HWA
0 - 0
PAJ
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 2
BUS
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BUS
1 - 0
SIH
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 1
BUS
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BUS
0 - 2
MOK
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 1
BUS
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |