HVV vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RKA
3 - 0
HVV
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
HVV
2 - 1
SJC
18%
22%
61%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VUC
2 - 1
TOG
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 2
VUC
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HAA
1 - 1
VUC
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VUC
2 - 3
HOL
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HIL
2 - 0
VUC
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |