HVCH vs AWC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
10º
10º
43
1º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EVV
2 - 0
HVC
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HVC
4 - 1
MOE
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 3
HVC
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HVC
1 - 1
VEN
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 1
HVC
37%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AWC
1 - 3
KAM
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HAL
7 - 0
AWC
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AWC
0 - 0
NUE
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JUL
4 - 1
AWC
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
AWC
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |