Hürth vs Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
10º
32
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
HUR
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
VFL
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 1
HUR
48%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
VIA
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
BSC
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVE
56%
19%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WEG
4 - 0
SCF
61%
20%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
KON
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
0 - 3
SCF
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |