Huragan Morag vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HUR
2 - 1
RAD
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SOK
0 - 0
HUR
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
HUR
40%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 2
PEL
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
SWI
46%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UWA
0 - 0
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
USK
0 - 2
POL
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
POL
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
RAD
48%
21%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SOK
3 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |