Hungry Lions vs Upington City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
13º
35
2º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
JDR
1 - 0
HLF
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
HLF
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LER
2 - 3
HLF
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 11 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HLF
2 - 1
MIL
68%
19%
12%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
HLF
3 - 0
CST
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
UCF
1 - 3
KRU
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
UCF
0 - 2
MIL
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UCF
1 - 3
MAR
24%
27%
50%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
UCF
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
UCF
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |