Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 3
HUN
15%
20%
66%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
HUN
3 - 2
SWI
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DID
0 - 4
HUN
11%
18%
71%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
OXF
4 - 0
HUN
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 2
HUN
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HIG
1 - 0
SWI
23%
21%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
SWI
3 - 2
SWI
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAT
4 - 0
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 0
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
DOR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |