Hume City FC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2010 |
BEN
1 - 5
HUM
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
HUM
2 - 1
ALM
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
HUM
0 - 6
SOU
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -3 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
HUM
1 - 3
OAK
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
RIC
1 - 1
HUM
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 0
MEL
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 5
NOR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 1
DAN
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SGC
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |