Hume City FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
83%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
13%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HUM
3 - 2
OAK
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
HUM
3 - 1
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HUM
2 - 0
PAS
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
5 - 2
HUM
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
0 - 2
HUM
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 0
MEL
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
ADE
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 3
MEL
4%
11%
86%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |