Hume City FC vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 0
HUM
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 3
SOU
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AVH
4 - 3
HUM
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 2
DAC
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
HUM
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
STA
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
HEU
3 - 2
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
MEL
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 1
MEL
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |