Premier League round 6

Hull City vs Manchester City analysis

Hull City Manchester City
79 ELO 93
-4% Tilt -8%
1278º General ELO ranking 16º
40º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
10.1%
Hull City
18.8%
Draw
71.1%
Manchester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
Hull City
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.1%
Win probability
Manchester City
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hull City
+5%
-3%
Manchester City

ELO progression

Hull City
Manchester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hull City
Hull City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2014
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
3 - 2
Hull City
HUL
57%
23%
20%
80 82 2 0
20 Sep. 2014
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 2
Hull City
HUL
56%
24%
20%
80 82 2 0
15 Sep. 2014
HUL
Hull City
2 - 2
West Ham
WHU
38%
27%
34%
80 83 3 0
31 Aug. 2014
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Hull City
HUL
54%
25%
21%
80 82 2 0
28 Aug. 2014
HUL
Hull City
2 - 1
Lokeren
LOK
46%
26%
28%
79 78 1 +1

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2014
MAC
Manchester City
7 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
90%
8%
2%
93 70 23 0
21 Sep. 2014
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
54%
22%
24%
93 92 1 0
17 Sep. 2014
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
75%
16%
9%
93 98 5 0
13 Sep. 2014
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 2
Manchester City
MAC
42%
25%
34%
93 92 1 0
30 Aug. 2014
MAC
Manchester City
0 - 1
Stoke City
STO
85%
11%
4%
93 85 8 0