Hull City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MID
1 - 0
HUL
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 0
MIL
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
COV
0 - 1
HUL
27%
28%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 1
BIR
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
WHU
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
CRY
1 - 1
DER
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |