Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
12º
44
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUB
1 - 0
HDR
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 2
ORI
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 1
HDR
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 3
RUD
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
HDR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 0
KUS
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 1
NKJ
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 0
NKD
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 2
BIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |