Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
12º
12º
54
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BIJ
1 - 2
HDR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HDR
2 - 2
DUG
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HDR
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
HDR
0 - 2
HNG
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 1
SLA
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 2
KUS
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 1
CRO
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
HNK
12%
20%
67%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNK
3 - 0
ZRI
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
ZMI
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |