Houston FC vs Mississippi Brilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
BVC
4 - 0
HFC
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
2 - 0
HFC
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
3 - 1
HFC
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
TEU
1 - 3
HFC
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
HFC
0 - 2
TEU
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mississippi Brilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CCF
4 - 1
MIS
33%
21%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
2 - 0
HFC
89%
8%
3%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
3 - 1
HFC
88%
8%
4%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
2 - 1
AHF
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
AHF
1 - 1
MIS
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |