Houston FC vs AHFC Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
59.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
HFC
0 - 5
CCF
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
HFC
3 - 3
MIS
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
BVC
4 - 0
HFC
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
2 - 0
HFC
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
3 - 1
HFC
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AHFC Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
AHF
3 - 3
CCF
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
AHF
3 - 1
TEU
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
MIS
2 - 1
AHF
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
AHF
1 - 1
MIS
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
AHF
1 - 2
MIS
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |