Houdeng vs Gilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houdeng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OLY
0 - 1
HOU
25%
21%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HOU
0 - 4
HOR
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 0
HOU
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
HOU
1 - 1
ASS
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RMO
4 - 0
HOU
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
RFC
1 - 0
PER
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RFC
1 - 1
MOL
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
OLY
4 - 4
RFC
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RFC
1 - 3
HOR
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 0
RFC
76%
14%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |