Horst vs ASV Dronten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BEQ
2 - 0
HOR
84%
12%
5%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 5
BEN
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
ZWA
1 - 1
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ASV Dronten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ASV
5 - 0
DOS
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ASV
2 - 2
BEQ
15%
19%
65%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BEN
3 - 1
ASV
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCZ
3 - 1
ASV
55%
23%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 1
DVS
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |