Horsham vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
COR
4 - 0
HOR
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 2
FAV
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
WAL
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
SIT
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
7 - 0
HOR
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 5
BUR
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HYT
1 - 1
WOR
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
4 - 3
GUE
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
THR
2 - 6
WOR
41%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
4 - 0
RED
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |