Horsham vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 1
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 2
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HOR
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 1
MET
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 5
CRA
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
POT
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 0
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
MER
38%
22%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
6 - 0
MER
86%
9%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |